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Harvard Case - Coffee Wars: Luckin vs. Starbucks

"Coffee Wars: Luckin vs. Starbucks" Harvard business case study is written by Zhigang Tao, Jeroen Van Den Berg, Marcella Ho. It deals with the challenges in the field of Strategy. The case study is 21 page(s) long and it was first published on : Jan 13, 2021

At Fern Fort University, we recommend Luckin Coffee to aggressively pursue a digital transformation strategy focused on innovation, technology and analytics, and strategic alliances to challenge Starbucks' dominance in the Chinese market. This strategy should leverage Luckin's existing strengths in technology, data analytics, and rapid expansion to create a sustainable competitive advantage.

2. Background

This case study examines the intense rivalry between Starbucks, the global coffee giant, and Luckin Coffee, a Chinese upstart that rapidly gained market share through aggressive expansion and a digitally-driven business model. The case highlights the challenges and opportunities faced by both companies in the rapidly growing Chinese coffee market.

The main protagonists are:

  • Starbucks: A global coffee powerhouse with a strong brand, established infrastructure, and extensive experience in the coffee industry.
  • Luckin Coffee: A Chinese startup that quickly gained traction by leveraging technology, data analytics, and aggressive expansion tactics.

3. Analysis of the Case Study

Competitive Analysis:

  • Porter's Five Forces: The Chinese coffee market exhibits high threat of new entrants (due to low barriers to entry), moderate bargaining power of buyers (due to price sensitivity), moderate bargaining power of suppliers (due to availability of coffee beans), high threat of substitutes (due to the availability of tea and other beverages), and intense rivalry (due to the presence of both established players and new entrants).
  • SWOT Analysis:
    • Starbucks:
      • Strengths: Strong brand, established infrastructure, global experience, loyal customer base.
      • Weaknesses: High prices, perceived as less innovative, slower to adapt to local preferences.
      • Opportunities: Growing Chinese coffee market, potential for expansion, development of new products tailored to local tastes.
      • Threats: Competition from local players, changing consumer preferences, economic fluctuations.
    • Luckin Coffee:
      • Strengths: Innovative technology, data-driven approach, rapid expansion, lower prices, strong online presence.
      • Weaknesses: Limited brand recognition, dependence on technology, potential for operational challenges.
      • Opportunities: Growing Chinese coffee market, potential for international expansion, development of new product offerings.
      • Threats: Competition from established players, potential for regulatory hurdles, dependence on technology.

Strategic Analysis:

  • Business Models:
    • Starbucks: Traditional brick-and-mortar model with a focus on brand experience and premium pricing.
    • Luckin Coffee: Digital-first model with a focus on convenience, affordability, and data-driven insights.
  • Competitive Advantage:
    • Starbucks: Brand recognition, global experience, strong customer loyalty.
    • Luckin Coffee: Technology, data analytics, rapid expansion, lower prices.
  • Value Chain Analysis:
    • Both companies have similar value chains, but Luckin Coffee has optimized its value chain for digital efficiency and cost reduction.
  • Disruptive Innovation:
    • Luckin Coffee's digital-first model can be considered a disruptive innovation in the Chinese coffee market, challenging Starbucks' traditional approach.

4. Recommendations

1. Accelerate Digital Transformation:

  • Invest heavily in technology and analytics: Develop and enhance its mobile app, data analytics platform, and online ordering system.
  • Leverage AI and machine learning: Use AI to optimize pricing, product recommendations, and customer service.
  • Expand online presence: Invest in social media marketing, influencer partnerships, and online advertising.

2. Enhance Product Differentiation:

  • Develop innovative product offerings: Introduce new coffee blends, unique flavors, and customized drinks tailored to local preferences.
  • Focus on product quality and sustainability: Use high-quality coffee beans sourced ethically and sustainably.
  • Expand product portfolio: Offer a wider range of products, including pastries, snacks, and other beverages.

3. Optimize Operations and Supply Chain:

  • Streamline manufacturing processes: Invest in efficient manufacturing and distribution systems to ensure product quality and consistency.
  • Develop strategic alliances: Partner with local suppliers, logistics companies, and technology providers to improve efficiency and reduce costs.
  • Implement a robust supply chain management system: Ensure a reliable supply of coffee beans and other ingredients.

4. Build a Strong Brand Identity:

  • Develop a compelling brand story: Communicate Luckin Coffee's unique value proposition and its commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction.
  • Leverage social media and influencer marketing: Engage with customers online and build a strong brand community.
  • Focus on customer service: Provide excellent customer service through all channels, including online and in-store.

5. Expand Internationally:

  • Target emerging markets: Explore opportunities in other emerging markets with similar growth potential to China.
  • Adapt to local preferences: Tailor product offerings, marketing strategies, and operations to meet the specific needs of each new market.
  • Partner with local companies: Form strategic alliances with local businesses to gain market access and leverage local expertise.

5. Basis of Recommendations

These recommendations are based on the following considerations:

  • Core competencies and consistency with mission: Luckin Coffee's core competencies lie in technology, data analytics, and rapid expansion. These recommendations leverage these strengths to build a sustainable competitive advantage.
  • External customers and internal clients: The recommendations are designed to meet the needs of both external customers (through innovative products and excellent service) and internal clients (through efficient operations and a strong brand identity).
  • Competitors: The recommendations are designed to differentiate Luckin Coffee from Starbucks and other competitors in the Chinese coffee market.
  • Attractiveness ' quantitative measures if applicable: The recommendations are expected to lead to increased market share, higher revenue, and improved profitability.
  • Assumptions: The recommendations assume that Luckin Coffee can continue to invest in technology and innovation, adapt to changing consumer preferences, and navigate the regulatory landscape effectively.

6. Conclusion

Luckin Coffee has the potential to become a major player in the global coffee market by leveraging its strengths in technology, data analytics, and rapid expansion. By implementing the recommendations outlined above, Luckin Coffee can build a sustainable competitive advantage, challenge Starbucks' dominance, and achieve long-term growth and profitability.

7. Discussion

Alternatives:

  • Merging with a larger company: This could provide access to resources and expertise, but it could also compromise Luckin Coffee's unique identity and agility.
  • Focusing solely on the Chinese market: This could limit growth potential and make Luckin Coffee vulnerable to economic fluctuations in China.

Risks and Key Assumptions:

  • Regulatory hurdles: Luckin Coffee may face challenges from government regulations in China and other markets.
  • Competition: The coffee market is highly competitive, and Luckin Coffee must constantly innovate and adapt to stay ahead.
  • Dependence on technology: Luckin Coffee's success is heavily reliant on technology, which could be vulnerable to cyberattacks or technological disruptions.

8. Next Steps

  • Develop a detailed digital transformation strategy: Outline specific goals, timelines, and resource allocation for each aspect of the digital transformation.
  • Invest in technology and data analytics: Secure funding and hire skilled personnel to build and enhance its technology infrastructure.
  • Launch new product offerings: Develop and test new products tailored to local preferences.
  • Expand into new markets: Identify potential target markets and develop a strategy for international expansion.
  • Monitor performance and adjust strategy: Continuously track key performance indicators and make adjustments to the strategy as needed.

By taking these steps, Luckin Coffee can capitalize on the growth opportunities in the Chinese coffee market and become a global leader in the coffee industry.

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Case Description

A cup of Starbucks was a middle-class symbol in China. Since the opening of its first store in China in 1999, Starbucks had conquered the Chinese coffee market with its experience driven philosophy. Nonetheless, a few ambitious and well-funded Chinese tech entrepreneurs had decided to challenge Starbucks. Founded in October 2017, Luckin Coffee expressed a desire "to be part of everyone's life, starting with coffee." Leveraging its core competence in technology and a business model focused on delivery and heavy discounts, Luckin scaled up rapidly. By 2020 it operated more stores in China than Starbucks. But Starbucks was responding to the new threat, forging an alliance with Alibaba backed Ele.me. In this situation, what should both firms do to do to win the war for China's coffee consumer?

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