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Harvard Case - TikTok in 2020: Super App or Supernova?

"TikTok in 2020: Super App or Supernova?" Harvard business case study is written by Jeffrey Rayport, Dan Maher, Dan O'Brien. It deals with the challenges in the field of Entrepreneurship. The case study is 50 page(s) long and it was first published on : Feb 19, 2021

At Fern Fort University, we recommend that TikTok pursue a multi-pronged strategy focused on sustainable growth and global expansion, leveraging its core competencies in short-form video content creation, AI-powered personalization, and a strong global community. This strategy should prioritize innovation and diversification, exploring new revenue streams and expanding its reach beyond its current platform.

2. Background

The case study analyzes TikTok?s meteoric rise to global prominence in 2020. Founded in 2016, TikTok quickly captured the attention of a young, global audience with its addictive short-form video content and powerful recommendation algorithm. Despite facing regulatory scrutiny and competition from established social media giants, TikTok continued to grow rapidly, raising questions about its future trajectory: Would it become a ?super app,? offering a wide range of services, or would it fade into obscurity like other social media platforms?

The main protagonists of the case study are Zhang Yiming, TikTok?s founder, and Shou Zi Chew, the company?s CEO. They face the challenge of navigating TikTok?s rapid growth while managing external pressures and internal challenges.

3. Analysis of the Case Study

3.1. SWOT Analysis:

Strengths:

  • Strong user base: TikTok boasts a massive and engaged user base, particularly among Gen Z and millennials.
  • Powerful recommendation algorithm: TikTok?s AI-powered algorithm effectively personalizes content, enhancing user engagement and retention.
  • Global reach: TikTok has achieved widespread adoption across diverse markets, offering significant growth potential.
  • Innovation: TikTok consistently introduces new features and formats, keeping its platform fresh and engaging.

Weaknesses:

  • Limited monetization: TikTok?s primary revenue stream is advertising, which is still under development.
  • Regulatory scrutiny: TikTok faces increasing regulatory scrutiny in various countries, posing potential risks to its operations.
  • Competition: Established social media platforms like Facebook and Instagram are actively competing with TikTok.
  • Data privacy concerns: TikTok has been criticized for its data privacy practices, impacting user trust.

Opportunities:

  • Expand into new markets: TikTok can further expand its reach into emerging markets with high internet penetration.
  • Diversify revenue streams: TikTok can explore new revenue models beyond advertising, such as e-commerce and subscription services.
  • Develop new features: TikTok can introduce innovative features like live streaming, gaming, and augmented reality to enhance user experience.
  • Strategic partnerships: TikTok can forge partnerships with other companies to leverage their resources and expand its offerings.

Threats:

  • Increased regulation: Governments may impose stricter regulations on social media platforms, hindering TikTok?s growth.
  • Competition from established players: Established social media platforms may intensify their efforts to compete with TikTok.
  • Technological disruptions: Emerging technologies could disrupt the short-form video market, posing a challenge to TikTok?s dominance.
  • Data security breaches: Data security breaches could damage TikTok?s reputation and user trust.

3.2. Porter?s Five Forces Analysis:

  • Threat of new entrants: The barriers to entry in the social media market are relatively high due to the need for significant capital investment, user acquisition, and content moderation. However, new entrants with innovative offerings could pose a threat.
  • Bargaining power of buyers: Users have a high degree of bargaining power as they can easily switch between platforms. However, TikTok?s strong recommendation algorithm and user engagement create a strong network effect, making it difficult for users to leave.
  • Bargaining power of suppliers: Suppliers, such as content creators and advertisers, have limited bargaining power due to the large number of competitors.
  • Threat of substitute products: Various social media platforms and entertainment options pose a threat to TikTok, but its unique short-form video format and personalized content provide a distinct advantage.
  • Rivalry among existing competitors: Competition among social media platforms is intense, with established players like Facebook, Instagram, and YouTube actively seeking to capture market share.

3.3. Value Chain Analysis:

TikTok?s value chain includes the following key activities:

  • Inbound logistics: Acquiring and managing user data, content moderation, and platform infrastructure.
  • Operations: Developing and deploying the TikTok app, managing user accounts, and providing technical support.
  • Outbound logistics: Distributing content to users, delivering advertising services, and managing user interactions.
  • Marketing and sales: Promoting TikTok through various channels, attracting new users, and engaging existing users.
  • Customer service: Providing support to users, resolving issues, and managing user feedback.

3.4. Business Model Innovation:

TikTok?s success stems from its innovative business model, which leverages:

  • Viral content: TikTok?s short-form video format and powerful recommendation algorithm encourage viral content creation and sharing.
  • User-generated content: TikTok relies heavily on user-generated content, reducing its own content creation costs and fostering community engagement.
  • Data-driven personalization: TikTok?s AI-powered algorithm analyzes user preferences and delivers personalized content recommendations, enhancing user engagement and retention.
  • Advertising revenue: TikTok generates revenue primarily through advertising, leveraging its large user base and targeted advertising capabilities.

4. Recommendations

4.1. Diversify Revenue Streams:

  • E-commerce: Integrate e-commerce features within the app, allowing users to purchase products directly from creators or brands.
  • Subscription services: Offer premium features like ad-free viewing, exclusive content, and early access to new features.
  • Live streaming events: Host live events and concerts, charging users for access or selling virtual goods.
  • Brand partnerships: Develop partnerships with brands for product placement, sponsored content, and co-branded merchandise.

4.2. Expand Global Reach:

  • Localize content: Tailor content and features to specific regional preferences and cultural nuances.
  • Strategic partnerships: Partner with local influencers and media companies to increase brand awareness and user adoption.
  • Invest in emerging markets: Focus on expanding into emerging markets with high internet penetration and young demographics.

4.3. Strengthen Core Competencies:

  • AI and Machine Learning: Continuously improve the recommendation algorithm to enhance user engagement and content discovery.
  • Content moderation: Invest in advanced content moderation tools and processes to mitigate risks associated with harmful content.
  • Data privacy: Implement robust data privacy measures and comply with relevant regulations to build user trust.

4.4. Foster Innovation:

  • Develop new features: Explore innovative features like live streaming, gaming, and augmented reality to enhance user experience.
  • Invest in research and development: Allocate resources to research and development to stay ahead of technological advancements.
  • Encourage creativity: Foster a culture that values creativity and experimentation, encouraging users and employees to innovate.

4.5. Manage Regulatory Risks:

  • Engage with regulators: Proactively engage with regulators to address concerns and build trust.
  • Comply with regulations: Ensure compliance with all relevant data privacy and content moderation regulations.
  • Transparency and accountability: Be transparent about data practices and take accountability for any violations.

5. Basis of Recommendations

These recommendations are based on a comprehensive analysis of TikTok?s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. They are consistent with TikTok?s mission to connect people through short-form videos, while also addressing its current challenges and future opportunities.

The recommendations prioritize sustainable growth, global expansion, and innovation, leveraging TikTok?s core competencies in technology, content creation, and community building. They also consider the external environment, including regulatory pressures and competitive landscape, while emphasizing data privacy and user safety.

6. Conclusion

TikTok has the potential to become a ?super app? by leveraging its core competencies and innovative business model. However, it must navigate regulatory challenges and intense competition while prioritizing sustainable growth and user trust. By diversifying revenue streams, expanding its global reach, and fostering innovation, TikTok can solidify its position as a leading social media platform and achieve long-term success.

7. Discussion

Alternatives:

  • Focusing solely on advertising revenue: This approach carries significant risks due to the volatility of the advertising market and competition from established players.
  • Acquiring other companies: While acquisitions can provide access to new markets and technologies, they can also be costly and disruptive.
  • Becoming a niche platform: Focusing on a specific niche market could limit TikTok?s growth potential and make it vulnerable to competition.

Risks:

  • Regulatory scrutiny: Increased regulation could significantly impact TikTok?s operations and revenue.
  • Competition: Established social media platforms could intensify their efforts to compete with TikTok.
  • Technological disruptions: Emerging technologies could disrupt the short-form video market, posing a challenge to TikTok?s dominance.

Key Assumptions:

  • TikTok can successfully diversify its revenue streams and maintain user engagement.
  • TikTok can navigate regulatory challenges and maintain a positive public image.
  • TikTok can continue to innovate and stay ahead of technological advancements.

8. Next Steps

  • Develop a detailed strategic plan: Outline specific goals, timelines, and resource allocation for implementing the recommendations.
  • Establish a dedicated team: Assemble a team of experts to oversee the implementation of the strategy.
  • Monitor progress and make adjustments: Regularly review progress, assess risks, and make necessary adjustments to the strategy.
  • Communicate with stakeholders: Keep stakeholders informed about the strategy and its implementation.

By taking these steps, TikTok can navigate its future with confidence and achieve its full potential as a global social media powerhouse.

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Case Description

TikTok's parent company, ByteDance, was launched in 2012 around a simple idea - helping users entertain themselves on their smartphones while on the Beijing Subway. In less than a decade, it had become one of the world's most valuable private companies, with investors confident that it could replicate a rapid ascent in China in country markets around the world. By May 2020, TikTok operated in 155 countries and, together with Douyin (its China app), it had engaged roughly a billion monthly active users, placing it in the top ranks of digital platforms globally. Some industry experts argued that it was the first consumer app operating at scale where artificial intelligence (or AI) was the product. TikTok had drawn the attention of competitors, regulators, and politicians, especially in the U.S., where commercial success was considered critical to ByteDance's long-term enterprise value. Both success and controversy raised a number of critical questions: What kind of platform was TikTok? How rapidly should TikTok's leadership attempt to validate and scale its monetization model outside of China? What effect would the COVID-19 pandemic have on TikTok's momentum and trajectory? Would TikTok become the first "Super App" with a global footprint? Or, if it moved too fast, did it run the risk of becoming "the next Vine" - a supernova that shone brightly only for a passing moment?

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