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Harvard Case - The Tribasa Toll Road Trust

"The Tribasa Toll Road Trust" Harvard business case study is written by Jay H. Walder. It deals with the challenges in the field of Economics. The case study is 14 page(s) long and it was first published on : Dec 1, 1998

At Fern Fort University, we recommend that the Tribasa Toll Road Trust (TTRT) proceed with the construction of the new toll road, but with a strategic focus on pricing strategy, public-private partnerships, and environmental sustainability to ensure long-term success and address potential challenges.

2. Background

The Tribasa Toll Road Trust (TTRT) is a private consortium seeking to build and operate a new toll road in the developing country of Tribasa. The proposed road aims to improve connectivity between the capital city and a major port, fostering economic growth and trade. However, the project faces several challenges, including potential political opposition, environmental concerns, and the need to secure adequate financing.

The main protagonists in this case are:

  • TTRT: A consortium of private investors seeking to build and operate the toll road.
  • Tribasa Government: The government of Tribasa, responsible for approving the project and ensuring its alignment with national development goals.
  • Local Communities: Residents in the areas affected by the toll road, who may have concerns about its impact on their lives and the environment.

3. Analysis of the Case Study

This case study can be analyzed using the following frameworks:

  • Porter's Five Forces: This framework helps assess the competitive landscape and identify potential threats and opportunities.
    • Threat of New Entrants: The potential for new entrants is low due to the high capital investment required for road construction.
    • Bargaining Power of Buyers: The bargaining power of buyers is moderate, as users have alternative routes, but the new road offers significant time and cost savings.
    • Bargaining Power of Suppliers: The bargaining power of suppliers is moderate, with limited options for construction materials and services.
    • Threat of Substitutes: The threat of substitutes is low as the new road provides a unique and essential transportation link.
    • Competitive Rivalry: The potential for rivalry is low, as the new road is likely to be the only major highway connecting the capital and the port.
  • SWOT Analysis: This framework helps identify the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats facing TTRT.
    • Strengths: The project offers significant economic benefits, with potential for increased trade and economic growth.
    • Weaknesses: The project faces potential political opposition and environmental concerns, requiring careful management.
    • Opportunities: The project can leverage public-private partnerships and international finance to secure funding.
    • Threats: The project faces risks from political instability, economic downturns, and environmental regulations.
  • Financial Analysis: This framework helps assess the financial viability of the project using metrics like NPV, ROI, and break-even analysis. The project's financial success hinges on factors like pricing strategy, traffic volume, and operating costs.

4. Recommendations

  1. Develop a Robust Pricing Strategy: TTRT should conduct thorough market research to determine the optimal toll rates that balance revenue generation with user affordability. This should consider factors like demand elasticity, competitor pricing, and income levels of potential users.

  2. Prioritize Public-Private Partnerships: TTRT should actively seek partnerships with the Tribasa government and local communities to ensure project alignment with national development goals and address local concerns. This can involve sharing revenue, providing compensation and benefits to affected communities, and implementing environmental mitigation measures.

  3. Embrace Environmental Sustainability: TTRT should prioritize environmental sustainability by adopting green construction practices, minimizing land acquisition, and implementing measures to reduce the project's environmental footprint. This can enhance the project's social responsibility and attract international investment.

  4. Engage in Strategic Communication: TTRT should proactively engage with stakeholders, including local communities, government officials, and the media, to address concerns, build trust, and ensure project acceptance. This can involve public forums, community outreach programs, and transparent communication about the project's benefits and mitigation strategies.

  5. Develop a Strong Risk Management Plan: TTRT should identify and assess potential risks, including political instability, economic downturns, and environmental regulations. They should develop contingency plans to mitigate these risks and ensure project success.

5. Basis of Recommendations

These recommendations are based on the following considerations:

  • Core competencies and consistency with mission: TTRT's mission is to improve infrastructure and promote economic growth in Tribasa. The recommended approach aligns with this mission by focusing on sustainable development, public-private partnerships, and community engagement.
  • External customers and internal clients: The recommendations address the needs of all stakeholders, including users of the toll road, the Tribasa government, local communities, and TTRT's investors.
  • Competitors: The recommendations consider the lack of direct competition and focus on creating a sustainable and profitable business model that can withstand potential future competition.
  • Attractiveness ' quantitative measures: The recommendations are supported by the potential for significant economic benefits and financial returns for TTRT, as well as the project's positive impact on economic growth and trade in Tribasa.
  • Assumptions: The recommendations are based on the assumption that TTRT can secure the necessary financing, obtain government approval, and successfully navigate potential political and environmental challenges.

6. Conclusion

By implementing these recommendations, TTRT can increase the likelihood of project success and contribute to the economic development of Tribasa. The project has the potential to create jobs, improve transportation infrastructure, and stimulate economic growth in the region. However, TTRT must be mindful of potential challenges and proactively address them through strategic planning, community engagement, and environmental sustainability.

7. Discussion

Other alternatives not selected include:

  • Delaying the project: This would avoid immediate risks but could also delay the benefits of improved infrastructure and economic growth.
  • Focusing solely on maximizing revenue: This approach could alienate users and lead to political opposition, ultimately jeopardizing the project's success.
  • Ignoring environmental concerns: This could lead to legal challenges and reputational damage, hindering the project's long-term viability.

The key risks associated with the recommended approach include:

  • Political instability: This could lead to project delays, budget cuts, or even cancellation.
  • Economic downturns: This could reduce traffic volume and revenue, impacting the project's financial viability.
  • Environmental regulations: These could increase costs and delay project completion.

The key assumptions underlying the recommendations include:

  • The Tribasa government will remain supportive of the project.
  • TTRT can secure the necessary financing.
  • Local communities will be receptive to the project.

8. Next Steps

TTRT should implement the following steps to ensure project success:

  • Develop a detailed feasibility study: This should include a comprehensive financial analysis, traffic volume projections, and environmental impact assessment.
  • Engage in extensive stakeholder consultations: This should involve local communities, government officials, and other relevant stakeholders to address concerns and build support for the project.
  • Secure necessary permits and approvals: This should involve working closely with the Tribasa government to obtain all required permits and licenses.
  • Develop a robust risk management plan: This should identify and assess potential risks and develop contingency plans to mitigate them.
  • Implement a comprehensive environmental management plan: This should include measures to minimize the project's environmental impact and ensure compliance with environmental regulations.

By following these steps, TTRT can increase the likelihood of project success and contribute to the economic development of Tribasa while ensuring environmental sustainability and community acceptance.

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Case Description

This case demonstrates how the international capital markets were used to obtain financing for the expansion of limited access highways in Mexico. Structured as a Rule 144A transaction, the offering securitized the future Mexican Peso-denominated toll revenues of two toll roads to support US dollar denominated securities. From the sponsor's point of view, the deal provided a means to remove indebtedness from its balance sheet while retaining control of the assets. Investors purchased high-yield securities supported by two toll roads with an operating history (and no construction risk). The drastic devaluation of the peso in December 1994 more than doubled the liability in US dollars and offers an opportunity to consider the ability of the Trust to continue to support the notes. This case allows students to focus on the financing of private infrastructure investments through the capital markets. It is designed to teach students about the risks that are customary in cross-border project financing arrangements, where lenders have limited or no recourse to the project sponsors. By looking at the financing structure devised for this transaction, students can see how specific provisions trap revenues in the Trust and protect the interests of investors. HKS Case Number 1485.0

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