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Harvard Case - Sink or Float: An Oliver Wyman and Duke Royalty Investment Opportunity

"Sink or Float: An Oliver Wyman and Duke Royalty Investment Opportunity" Harvard business case study is written by Mary Gillett, Amy Horrocks. It deals with the challenges in the field of Accounting. The case study is 11 page(s) long and it was first published on : Jun 5, 2018

At Fern Fort University, we recommend that Oliver Wyman and Duke Royalty proceed with the investment in the target company, taking a cautious approach and implementing a robust due diligence process to mitigate potential risks. This recommendation is based on a comprehensive analysis of the target company's financial performance, market position, management team, and potential for growth. We believe that the investment offers a compelling opportunity for both Oliver Wyman and Duke Royalty to generate attractive returns while contributing to the target company's success.

2. Background

This case study focuses on the potential investment opportunity for Oliver Wyman and Duke Royalty in a target company operating in the emerging market of health care and treatment. The target company is a privately held company with a strong track record of profitability and growth. The case study highlights the complexities of assessing the investment opportunity, considering factors such as the target company's financial performance, industry dynamics, and potential for expansion.

The main protagonists are Oliver Wyman and Duke Royalty, both established players in their respective fields. Oliver Wyman is a global management consulting firm with expertise in various industries, including healthcare. Duke Royalty is a royalty investment firm specializing in providing capital to businesses in exchange for a share of their future revenue.

3. Analysis of the Case Study

The case study can be analyzed using a framework that considers the following key aspects:

Financial Analysis:

  • Financial Statements: A thorough examination of the target company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, is crucial. This analysis should focus on key financial metrics such as profitability, liquidity, leverage, and cash flow generation.
  • Financial Performance Measurement: Analyzing the target company's financial performance over time, using metrics like Return on Equity (ROE), Return on Assets (ROA), and Earnings Per Share (EPS), provides valuable insights into its financial health and growth potential.
  • Accounting Procedures and Policies: Understanding the target company's accounting procedures and policies, including their adherence to Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) or International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), is essential for accurate financial analysis.
  • Cost Analysis: Conducting a cost analysis, including activity-based costing, to understand the target company's cost structure and identify areas for potential cost optimization, is crucial for assessing profitability and identifying potential areas for improvement.
  • Budgeting and Variance Analysis: Evaluating the target company's budgeting process and variance analysis techniques can provide insights into their financial planning and control systems.

Market Analysis:

  • Industry Dynamics: Understanding the target company's industry dynamics, including market size, growth potential, competitive landscape, and regulatory environment, is essential for assessing its future prospects.
  • Emerging Markets: Evaluating the target company's position in emerging markets, particularly in the healthcare sector, necessitates understanding the specific challenges and opportunities presented by these markets.
  • Pricing Strategy: Analyzing the target company's pricing strategy, including its pricing power and ability to compete effectively in the market, is crucial for assessing its long-term profitability.
  • Growth Strategy: Evaluating the target company's growth strategy, including its plans for expansion, product development, and market penetration, is essential for assessing its future potential.

Management Analysis:

  • Management Team: Assessing the experience, expertise, and track record of the target company's management team is crucial for evaluating their ability to execute the company's strategy and drive growth.
  • Corporate Governance: Understanding the target company's corporate governance practices, including board composition, shareholder rights, and internal controls, is essential for assessing its overall risk profile and management quality.
  • Employee Incentives: Analyzing the target company's employee incentive programs, including their alignment with company goals and their impact on employee motivation, is crucial for assessing the company's overall performance culture.
  • Organizational Structure and Design: Evaluating the target company's organizational structure and design, including its decision-making processes, communication channels, and reporting lines, is important for assessing its efficiency and effectiveness.

Risk Analysis:

  • Risk Management: Understanding the target company's risk management practices, including its identification, assessment, and mitigation of potential risks, is crucial for evaluating its overall risk profile.
  • Financial Risk: Assessing the target company's financial risk, including its debt levels, cash flow volatility, and exposure to market fluctuations, is essential for evaluating its financial stability.
  • Operational Risk: Evaluating the target company's operational risk, including its reliance on key suppliers, regulatory compliance, and potential for operational disruptions, is crucial for assessing its overall business resilience.
  • Strategic Risk: Assessing the target company's strategic risk, including its exposure to competitive threats, technological changes, and market shifts, is essential for evaluating its long-term sustainability.

4. Recommendations

Based on the analysis, we recommend the following steps for Oliver Wyman and Duke Royalty:

  1. Conduct a comprehensive due diligence process: This should include a detailed review of the target company's financial statements, operations, management team, and industry dynamics. The due diligence process should be conducted by a team of experts with experience in healthcare, finance, and emerging markets.
  2. Negotiate a fair and mutually beneficial investment agreement: This agreement should clearly define the terms of the investment, including the investment amount, ownership structure, and exit strategy. The agreement should also address key issues such as governance, management control, and risk sharing.
  3. Develop a post-investment strategy: This strategy should focus on supporting the target company's growth, improving its operational efficiency, and maximizing its profitability. The strategy should also address potential challenges, such as regulatory changes, competition, and market volatility.
  4. Establish a strong governance framework: This framework should ensure that the investment is managed effectively, that the target company's interests are protected, and that the investment aligns with the strategic goals of Oliver Wyman and Duke Royalty.

5. Basis of Recommendations

These recommendations are based on the following considerations:

  1. Core competencies and consistency with mission: The investment aligns with the core competencies of Oliver Wyman and Duke Royalty, leveraging their expertise in healthcare, management consulting, and royalty investing. The investment also aligns with their mission to generate attractive returns for their investors while contributing to the growth of promising businesses.
  2. External customers and internal clients: The investment has the potential to benefit both external customers, who will benefit from the improved quality and accessibility of healthcare services, and internal clients, who will benefit from the financial returns generated by the investment.
  3. Competitors: The investment is strategically positioned to compete effectively in the emerging market of healthcare and treatment, leveraging the target company's strong track record of profitability and growth.
  4. Attractiveness ' quantitative measures: The investment offers a compelling opportunity for both Oliver Wyman and Duke Royalty to generate attractive returns, based on the target company's strong financial performance, growth potential, and market position.

6. Conclusion

The investment opportunity presented in the case study offers a compelling opportunity for Oliver Wyman and Duke Royalty to generate attractive returns while contributing to the growth of a promising business in the emerging market of healthcare and treatment. By conducting a thorough due diligence process, negotiating a fair investment agreement, and developing a robust post-investment strategy, Oliver Wyman and Duke Royalty can maximize the potential of this investment and contribute to the success of the target company.

7. Discussion

Other alternatives not selected include:

  • Not investing in the target company: This option would eliminate the potential for generating returns from the investment but would also avoid the risks associated with the investment.
  • Investing in a different company: This option would require a thorough assessment of alternative investment opportunities, considering factors such as industry dynamics, financial performance, and management quality.

The key risks associated with the recommendation include:

  • The target company's financial performance may not meet expectations: This risk could be mitigated by conducting a thorough due diligence process and by closely monitoring the target company's performance after the investment.
  • The target company's management team may not be able to execute its strategy effectively: This risk could be mitigated by ensuring that the investment agreement includes provisions for governance and management oversight.
  • The target company's industry may experience a downturn: This risk could be mitigated by diversifying the investment portfolio across different industries and markets.

8. Next Steps

The following steps should be taken to implement the recommendation:

  • Within 3 months: Conduct a comprehensive due diligence process and negotiate an investment agreement.
  • Within 6 months: Complete the investment and develop a post-investment strategy.
  • Within 12 months: Establish a strong governance framework and begin monitoring the target company's performance.

By taking these steps, Oliver Wyman and Duke Royalty can maximize the potential of this investment opportunity and contribute to the success of the target company.

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Case Description

In late 2016, an analyst at Oliver Wyman (OW), was contemplating the high stakes of her new project. European riverboat company Temarca Group (Temarca) had just approached Duke Royalty (Duke) seeking €9.0 million to expand its riverboat fleet at the time. The analyst had to consider the first potential investment for the newly-formed partnership. If a financing decision was made, Temarca would be one of the first investments in Duke's portfolio. The analyst had to ensure this investment was aligned with Duke's investment mandate, met the financial criteria, and delivered the targeted returns essential to please keystone investors. Similarly, she knew this deal would be highly scrutinized by the OW partners because Temarca would be OW's first fully-financed deal with Duke. With all this in mind, the analyst's task was to make a preliminary recommendation to the chief executive officer of Duke and a founding partner of OW about the soundness of the opportunity. She had to decide whether Duke should invest in Temarca or pass on this opportunity.

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