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Harvard Case - Rechargeable Batteries, 2017: Gigafactory Wars in the Offing?

"Rechargeable Batteries, 2017: Gigafactory Wars in the Offing?" Harvard business case study is written by John R. Wells, Benjamin Weinstock. It deals with the challenges in the field of Strategy. The case study is 23 page(s) long and it was first published on : Nov 3, 2019

At Fern Fort University, we recommend that battery manufacturers adopt a multi-pronged strategy to navigate the rapidly evolving rechargeable battery landscape. This strategy should prioritize innovation and strategic partnerships to secure a sustainable competitive advantage. The focus should be on disruptive innovation in battery technology, vertical integration in the supply chain, and strategic alliances to secure critical resources and expand market reach. This approach will enable manufacturers to capitalize on the growing demand for electric vehicles and energy storage solutions while mitigating the risks associated with the gigafactory wars.

2. Background

This case study examines the burgeoning rechargeable battery market, driven by the rise of electric vehicles (EVs) and the need for energy storage solutions. The industry is characterized by intense competition, with major players like Tesla, Panasonic, and LG Chem investing heavily in gigafactories to scale production and reduce costs. The case focuses on the strategic challenges faced by battery manufacturers in this rapidly evolving landscape.

The main protagonists of the case study are the key players in the rechargeable battery market, including:

  • Tesla: A leading EV manufacturer and battery technology innovator, known for its vertically integrated approach and its Gigafactory strategy.
  • Panasonic: A major battery manufacturer and long-term partner with Tesla, known for its expertise in lithium-ion battery technology.
  • LG Chem: A leading battery manufacturer, competing with Panasonic in the EV battery market.
  • Other players: A range of smaller battery manufacturers and technology companies seeking to disrupt the market.

3. Analysis of the Case Study

To analyze the case, we can apply several frameworks, including:

Porter's Five Forces:

  • Threat of New Entrants: High due to the relatively low barriers to entry in the battery manufacturing industry, particularly for companies with access to capital and technology.
  • Bargaining Power of Buyers: High due to the concentration of large buyers like Tesla and other EV manufacturers.
  • Bargaining Power of Suppliers: Moderate due to the availability of raw materials and the potential for alternative suppliers.
  • Threat of Substitute Products: Moderate, with potential substitutes like flow batteries and fuel cells emerging.
  • Rivalry Among Existing Competitors: High, with intense competition among established players and new entrants.

SWOT Analysis:

Strengths:

  • Growing demand: The market for rechargeable batteries is experiencing exponential growth, driven by the rise of EVs and the need for energy storage solutions.
  • Technological advancements: Continuous innovation in battery technology is leading to improved performance, lower costs, and increased sustainability.
  • Vertical integration: Companies like Tesla have successfully integrated battery production into their value chain, reducing costs and increasing control.

Weaknesses:

  • High capital investment: Building gigafactories requires significant capital investment, posing a challenge for smaller players.
  • Supply chain dependence: Battery manufacturers are reliant on a limited number of suppliers for critical raw materials, creating vulnerability.
  • Environmental concerns: The production and disposal of batteries raise environmental concerns, requiring sustainable practices.

Opportunities:

  • Emerging markets: The demand for rechargeable batteries is growing rapidly in emerging markets, offering significant opportunities for expansion.
  • Strategic partnerships: Collaborations with other companies can provide access to new technologies, markets, and resources.
  • Government support: Governments are increasingly supporting the development of the battery industry through subsidies and incentives.

Threats:

  • Competition: The intense competition from established players and new entrants poses a significant threat.
  • Technological disruption: Emerging battery technologies could disrupt the market, rendering current technologies obsolete.
  • Economic volatility: Global economic uncertainties could impact demand for EVs and energy storage solutions.

Value Chain Analysis:

The value chain for rechargeable battery manufacturers can be broken down into the following primary activities:

  • Research and Development: Developing new battery technologies and improving existing ones.
  • Raw Material Procurement: Sourcing critical raw materials like lithium, cobalt, and nickel.
  • Manufacturing: Producing battery cells and modules.
  • Assembly: Integrating batteries into EVs and other applications.
  • Marketing and Sales: Promoting and selling batteries to customers.
  • After-Sales Service: Providing support and maintenance for batteries.

Business Model Innovation:

Battery manufacturers are exploring various business model innovations, including:

  • Subscription models: Offering battery services on a subscription basis, enabling customers to access batteries without upfront costs.
  • Battery swapping: Developing standardized battery packs that can be easily swapped, reducing charging time and increasing convenience.
  • Recycling and reuse: Implementing closed-loop systems to recycle and reuse battery materials, reducing waste and environmental impact.

4. Recommendations

To navigate the competitive landscape and secure a sustainable competitive advantage, battery manufacturers should consider the following recommendations:

  1. Embrace Disruptive Innovation: Invest heavily in research and development to develop next-generation battery technologies that offer superior performance, lower costs, and increased sustainability. This could involve exploring solid-state batteries, lithium-sulfur batteries, or other emerging technologies.
  2. Vertical Integration: Consider vertically integrating the supply chain to gain control over critical raw materials, manufacturing processes, and distribution channels. This can help reduce costs, improve efficiency, and mitigate supply chain risks.
  3. Strategic Alliances: Form strategic partnerships with other companies, including EV manufacturers, technology providers, and raw material suppliers. This can provide access to new technologies, markets, and resources, enabling manufacturers to scale up production and expand their reach.
  4. Global Expansion: Target emerging markets with high growth potential, such as China, India, and Southeast Asia. This can diversify revenue streams and mitigate risks associated with regional market fluctuations.
  5. Sustainability Focus: Embrace sustainable practices throughout the value chain, from raw material sourcing to recycling and disposal. This can enhance brand reputation, attract environmentally conscious customers, and meet growing regulatory requirements.

5. Basis of Recommendations

These recommendations are based on the following considerations:

  1. Core competencies and consistency with mission: The recommendations align with the core competencies of battery manufacturers, such as technology development, manufacturing expertise, and supply chain management. They also support the mission of providing high-performance, cost-effective, and sustainable battery solutions.
  2. External customers and internal clients: The recommendations address the needs of both external customers, such as EV manufacturers and energy storage companies, and internal clients, such as employees and investors.
  3. Competitors: The recommendations aim to differentiate battery manufacturers from their competitors by focusing on disruptive innovation, vertical integration, and strategic partnerships.
  4. Attractiveness ' quantitative measures if applicable: The recommendations are expected to enhance profitability and market share by driving down costs, increasing efficiency, and expanding market reach.
  5. Assumptions: The recommendations are based on the assumption that the demand for rechargeable batteries will continue to grow, driven by the adoption of EVs and the need for energy storage solutions.

6. Conclusion

The rechargeable battery market is poised for explosive growth, presenting both opportunities and challenges for battery manufacturers. By embracing disruptive innovation, vertical integration, strategic alliances, and a focus on sustainability, battery manufacturers can position themselves for success in this dynamic and competitive landscape.

7. Discussion

Other alternatives not selected include:

  • Horizontal integration: Acquiring or merging with other battery manufacturers to gain market share and economies of scale.
  • Outsourcing: Outsourcing certain manufacturing processes to reduce costs and increase flexibility.
  • Cost leadership strategy: Focusing on cost reduction and efficiency to compete on price.

Risks and key assumptions associated with the recommendations include:

  • Technological uncertainty: The rapid pace of technological innovation in the battery industry creates uncertainty about the long-term viability of current technologies.
  • Raw material availability and pricing: The availability and pricing of critical raw materials can fluctuate significantly, impacting costs and profitability.
  • Government regulation: Changes in government policies and regulations could impact the battery industry, creating uncertainty.

8. Next Steps

To implement the recommendations, battery manufacturers should take the following steps:

  • Develop a comprehensive strategic plan: Define clear goals, objectives, and strategies for navigating the rechargeable battery market.
  • Invest in research and development: Allocate resources to develop next-generation battery technologies and improve existing ones.
  • Explore vertical integration opportunities: Assess the feasibility of integrating key parts of the supply chain, such as raw material sourcing and manufacturing.
  • Identify potential strategic partners: Seek out companies that can complement existing capabilities and provide access to new technologies, markets, and resources.
  • Develop a global expansion strategy: Identify target markets with high growth potential and develop plans for entering these markets.
  • Implement sustainability initiatives: Integrate sustainable practices throughout the value chain to reduce environmental impact and enhance brand reputation.
  • Monitor industry trends and competitor activities: Stay informed about emerging technologies, market trends, and competitor strategies to adapt and remain competitive.

By taking these steps, battery manufacturers can position themselves for success in the rapidly evolving rechargeable battery market and contribute to the transition towards a more sustainable future.

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Case Description

In 2017, the global market for rechargeable lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries was 126 gigawatt-hours (GWh) valued at $37 billion, growing by $10 billion in two years. Once confined largely to consumer electronics and appliances, the rapid increase in demand was spurred by the adoption of electric cars and buses. Moreover, the falling cost of batteries was sparking interest in another potential huge market-the electrical utility sector. Batteries could be used to store electricity in periods of low demand and release it when demand was high, significantly reducing the need for peak generation capacity. However, historically, the costs of doing this had been prohibitively high. In response to the expected demand, several companies had announced "gigafactories," plants that, combined, could produce many times more output than total global demand in 2017. Tesla, Inc., the electric car maker, was the first. In 2014, it announced a 35 GWh battery plant, costing $5 billion, to be built in Nevada, enough capacity to fulfill global demand in 2013. In 2017, Tesla CEO Elon Musk said he would announce an additional four gigafactory locations to supply the global market. Tesla was not alone in its battery ambitions. In late 2016, start-up Alevo began delivery of its new "GridBank" batteries from a 3.5 million square-foot facility in North Carolina, with the potential to scale to 60 GWh. Alevo claimed its batteries lasted four times longer and were safer than the conventional Li-ion batteries used by Tesla. Anxious not to be reliant on third parties, in 2017, several automakers had announced plans to build battery capacity, including General Motors and Daimler. Indeed, Daimler announced two plants for its Mercedes brand cars, one in Germany and one in China. New start-ups were also entering the fray, with Northvolt AB of Sweden partnering with ABB of Switzerland to build a 32 GWh facility.

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