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Harvard Case - Procter and Gamble: Cost of Capital

"Procter and Gamble: Cost of Capital" Harvard business case study is written by Kenneth Eades. It deals with the challenges in the field of Finance. The case study is 16 page(s) long and it was first published on : Mar 1, 1991

At Fern Fort University, we recommend that Procter & Gamble (P&G) undertake a comprehensive review of its cost of capital, considering both internal and external factors. This review should involve a thorough analysis of P&G's current capital structure, an assessment of the company's risk profile, and a projection of future financing needs. The findings of this analysis will inform P&G's future financial strategy, including its approach to debt management, dividend policy, and investment decisions.

2. Background

Procter & Gamble is a multinational consumer goods corporation with a diverse portfolio of products, including household cleaning supplies, personal care items, and food and beverages. The case study focuses on P&G's need to determine its cost of capital, a crucial factor in evaluating potential investments and making strategic decisions. The case highlights the complexities of calculating the cost of capital, particularly for a large, diversified company like P&G, which operates in a global market and faces various financial risks.

The main protagonists of the case study are:

  • P&G's management team: They are tasked with making strategic decisions about capital allocation and investment, requiring a clear understanding of the company's cost of capital.
  • Financial analysts: These individuals are responsible for analyzing P&G's financial performance, including its cost of capital, and providing recommendations to management.

3. Analysis of the Case Study

To analyze P&G's cost of capital, we can utilize the following frameworks:

  • Financial Analysis: This involves examining P&G's financial statements (balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement) to understand its current financial position, profitability, and cash flow generation. This analysis will help identify key financial ratios, such as debt-to-equity ratio, return on equity (ROE), and free cash flow, which are crucial for determining the cost of capital.
  • Capital Budgeting: This framework helps evaluate potential investment projects by comparing their expected returns with the company's cost of capital. P&G can use techniques like net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), and payback period to assess the profitability of various projects.
  • Risk Assessment: This involves identifying and quantifying the various financial risks that P&G faces, including market risk, credit risk, and operational risk. This assessment is crucial for determining the appropriate cost of capital, as higher risk profiles generally require a higher cost of capital.
  • Financial Modeling: This involves creating a financial model that simulates P&G's future financial performance under different scenarios. This model can help assess the impact of various financing decisions on the company's overall cost of capital and profitability.

4. Recommendations

  • Conduct a comprehensive cost of capital analysis: P&G should undertake a thorough review of its cost of capital, considering both its current capital structure and its future financing needs. This analysis should involve:
    • Determining the cost of debt: This involves analyzing P&G's current debt structure, including the interest rates on its outstanding debt, and considering the market conditions for similar debt instruments.
    • Determining the cost of equity: This involves using various models, such as the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) or the Dividend Discount Model (DDM), to estimate the expected return required by investors for holding P&G's stock.
    • Calculating the weighted average cost of capital (WACC): This involves weighting the cost of debt and the cost of equity based on the company's target capital structure.
  • Review and adjust P&G's capital structure: Based on the cost of capital analysis, P&G should review its current capital structure and consider making adjustments to optimize its financing mix. This may involve:
    • Optimizing the debt-to-equity ratio: P&G should strive to maintain a debt-to-equity ratio that balances the benefits of debt financing (lower cost of capital) with the risks associated with higher leverage.
    • Exploring alternative financing sources: P&G should explore alternative financing sources, such as private equity, international debt markets, or innovative financing instruments, to potentially reduce its cost of capital.
  • Develop a robust financial forecasting model: P&G should develop a financial model that projects its future financial performance under different scenarios. This model will help assess the impact of various financing decisions on the company's overall cost of capital and profitability.
  • Implement a comprehensive risk management framework: P&G should implement a robust risk management framework to mitigate financial risks and ensure the sustainability of its business. This framework should include:
    • Identifying and quantifying key financial risks: This involves analyzing the potential impact of various financial risks, such as market risk, credit risk, and operational risk, on the company's profitability and cash flow.
    • Developing strategies to mitigate financial risks: This may involve implementing hedging strategies, diversifying investments, or improving operational efficiency.

5. Basis of Recommendations

These recommendations are based on the following considerations:

  • Core competencies and consistency with mission: P&G's core competencies lie in its brand management, product development, and global distribution network. By optimizing its cost of capital, P&G can ensure it has the resources to invest in these core competencies and continue to deliver value to its customers.
  • External customers and internal clients: P&G's customers expect high-quality products at competitive prices. By managing its cost of capital effectively, P&G can ensure it can continue to offer value to its customers while maintaining its profitability. Internal clients, such as P&G's employees, also benefit from a well-managed cost of capital, as it provides stability and supports future growth opportunities.
  • Competitors: P&G operates in a highly competitive market, with numerous rivals vying for market share. By optimizing its cost of capital, P&G can ensure it remains competitive and can effectively respond to market changes.
  • Attractiveness ' quantitative measures: The recommended actions are expected to improve P&G's financial performance by reducing its cost of capital, increasing its profitability, and enhancing its shareholder value. These benefits can be quantified using measures like NPV, ROI, and break-even analysis.
  • Assumptions: These recommendations are based on the assumption that P&G's management is committed to improving the company's financial performance and creating long-term shareholder value.

6. Conclusion

By undertaking a comprehensive cost of capital analysis, reviewing and adjusting its capital structure, developing a robust financial forecasting model, and implementing a comprehensive risk management framework, P&G can optimize its financing mix, reduce its cost of capital, and enhance its overall financial performance. This will enable the company to remain competitive in a global market, continue to deliver value to its customers, and create long-term shareholder value.

7. Discussion

Other alternatives not selected include:

  • Maintaining the current capital structure: This option would involve minimal effort but could lead to suboptimal financial performance if P&G's cost of capital is not competitive.
  • Focusing solely on debt financing: While this approach could initially reduce the cost of capital, it would also increase P&G's financial risk and could potentially lead to financial distress.
  • Issuing new equity: This option could dilute existing shareholder ownership and may not be the most efficient way to raise capital.

The key risks associated with the recommended actions include:

  • Market volatility: Changes in interest rates, economic conditions, or investor sentiment could impact P&G's cost of capital and affect its ability to raise funds.
  • Regulatory changes: Changes in financial regulations could impact P&G's financing options and its overall cost of capital.
  • Operational risks: Unexpected events, such as natural disasters or supply chain disruptions, could impact P&G's financial performance and require adjustments to its capital structure.

8. Next Steps

To implement these recommendations, P&G should take the following steps:

  • Form a cross-functional team: This team should include representatives from finance, accounting, treasury, and risk management to ensure a comprehensive approach to the cost of capital analysis.
  • Develop a detailed timeline: This timeline should outline the key milestones for each stage of the analysis and implementation process.
  • Communicate with stakeholders: P&G should communicate its plans to investors, analysts, and other stakeholders to ensure transparency and build confidence in the company's financial strategy.

By taking these steps, P&G can ensure that its cost of capital is aligned with its financial goals and that it has the resources to achieve its strategic objectives.

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Case Description

To assess whether a company should enter the household-products market, Procter and Gamble's weighted-average cost of capital is computed. Clorox's cost of capital is also computed as a check on the P&G estimate. The case emphasizes the conceptual as well as mechanical aspects of computing cost of capital for a company with homogeneous business risk and stable capital structure.

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