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Harvard Case - Getting Brexit Done

"Getting Brexit Done" Harvard business case study is written by Alberto F. Cavallo. It deals with the challenges in the field of Business & Government Relations. The case study is 35 page(s) long and it was first published on : Feb 1, 2020

At Fern Fort University, we recommend a comprehensive strategy for navigating the complex landscape of Brexit, focusing on building resilience, fostering innovation, and maximizing opportunities in the post-Brexit era. This strategy involves a multi-pronged approach, encompassing trade policy adjustments, investment diversification, strategic partnerships, and skill development to mitigate the potential negative impacts of Brexit while capitalizing on emerging opportunities.

2. Background

The case study 'Getting Brexit Done' focuses on the UK's decision to leave the European Union (EU) and its potential implications for businesses operating in the UK and the EU. The main protagonists are the UK government, represented by Prime Minister Boris Johnson, and businesses operating in the UK and EU, facing uncertainty and potential disruption due to the departure.

3. Analysis of the Case Study

The case study highlights several key challenges and opportunities presented by Brexit:

  • Trade and Economic Impacts: The UK's exit from the EU's single market and customs union creates new trade barriers, impacting supply chains, tariffs, and regulatory compliance. This could lead to economic slowdown, inflation, and job losses.
  • Political and Social Implications: Brexit has sparked intense political debate and social division within the UK, impacting public trust in institutions and potentially hindering long-term economic stability.
  • Opportunities for Innovation and Diversification: The UK can leverage Brexit to forge new trade agreements, attract foreign investment, and develop new industries. This requires strategic planning and investment in innovation and skills development.

Framework: We can analyze the case using the Porter's Five Forces framework to understand the competitive landscape and the impact of Brexit on industry dynamics. The five forces are:

  1. Threat of New Entrants: Brexit could create opportunities for new entrants, particularly in industries where the UK gains a competitive advantage due to new trade agreements.
  2. Bargaining Power of Buyers: Brexit may increase the bargaining power of buyers if they have more options due to new trade agreements or if the UK market becomes more competitive.
  3. Bargaining Power of Suppliers: Brexit could increase the bargaining power of suppliers if the UK becomes more reliant on imports or if supply chains are disrupted.
  4. Threat of Substitutes: Brexit could lead to the emergence of substitutes, especially if the UK loses access to certain EU products or services.
  5. Competitive Rivalry: Brexit could intensify competition within the UK and between the UK and EU businesses, as companies adjust to new market conditions.

4. Recommendations

  1. Trade Policy Adjustment: The UK government should prioritize negotiating favorable trade agreements with key trading partners, focusing on reducing tariffs, streamlining customs procedures, and ensuring regulatory compatibility. This includes exploring new trade relationships with emerging markets and developing countries.
  2. Investment Diversification: Businesses should diversify their investment portfolios, exploring opportunities in sectors with strong growth potential, such as technology, renewable energy, and life sciences. This includes attracting foreign direct investment by creating a business-friendly environment and promoting the UK's strengths.
  3. Strategic Partnerships: The UK government and businesses should foster strategic partnerships with other countries, particularly in areas of mutual interest, such as research and development, infrastructure development, and innovation. This could involve public-private partnerships, joint ventures, and knowledge sharing initiatives.
  4. Skill Development: The UK government and businesses should prioritize skill development programs to equip workers with the skills needed to thrive in the post-Brexit economy. This includes investing in education, training, and upskilling programs to address potential skill gaps and prepare for emerging technologies.

5. Basis of Recommendations

These recommendations are based on the following considerations:

  1. Core Competencies and Consistency with Mission: The recommendations align with the UK's long-term economic goals of fostering innovation, attracting investment, and enhancing competitiveness.
  2. External Customers and Internal Clients: The recommendations consider the needs of businesses, consumers, and workers, aiming to minimize disruptions and maximize opportunities for all stakeholders.
  3. Competitors: The recommendations recognize the need to stay competitive in the global marketplace, by fostering innovation, attracting investment, and building strategic partnerships.
  4. Attractiveness: The recommendations are based on quantitative measures, such as economic growth projections, investment returns, and job creation potential.

6. Conclusion

Brexit presents both challenges and opportunities for the UK. By adopting a proactive and strategic approach, the UK can navigate the uncertainties of Brexit and emerge as a more competitive and resilient economy. This requires a concerted effort from the government, businesses, and individuals to adapt to the new realities of the post-Brexit world.

7. Discussion

Alternative strategies include:

  • Protectionism: Imposing tariffs and restrictions on imports, which could lead to higher prices for consumers and retaliatory measures from trading partners.
  • Status Quo: Maintaining the existing economic and trade relationships with the EU, which would limit the UK's ability to forge new partnerships and potentially stifle innovation.

Risks:

  • Trade Wars: The UK could face retaliatory measures from trading partners if its trade policies are perceived as unfair or protectionist.
  • Economic Slowdown: Brexit could lead to a slowdown in economic growth, job losses, and increased inequality.
  • Political Instability: The uncertainty surrounding Brexit could lead to political instability and social unrest.

Key Assumptions:

  • The UK government will successfully negotiate favorable trade agreements with key trading partners.
  • Businesses will be able to adapt to the new trade regulations and market conditions.
  • The UK will invest in innovation and skill development to remain competitive.

8. Next Steps

  • Short-Term: The UK government should prioritize negotiating trade agreements and implementing measures to mitigate the immediate impact of Brexit on businesses.
  • Mid-Term: Businesses should invest in diversification, innovation, and skill development to prepare for the long-term changes brought about by Brexit.
  • Long-Term: The UK government and businesses should work together to create a more resilient and competitive economy, fostering innovation, attracting investment, and building strategic partnerships.

This comprehensive strategy, encompassing trade policy adjustments, investment diversification, strategic partnerships, and skill development, will help the UK navigate the complex landscape of Brexit and emerge stronger in the post-Brexit era.

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Case Description

In the early hours of Friday, December 13, 2019, a triumphant Boris Johnson, the UK Prime Minister, stood in front of his supporters and declared, "We did it - we pulled it off, didn't we? We broke the deadlock, [. . .] we smashed the roadblock. [. . .] This election means getting Brexit done is now the irrefutable, irresistible, unarguable decision of the British people." To Johnson, this was the culmination of a long process that had started with the shocking results of the 2016 referendum on Britain's exit (Brexit) from the European Union (EU). But many long-run economic and political challenges still lay ahead: Would the UK and the EU be able to agree on a mutually-beneficial economic relationship before the end of the transition period? Could the UK negotiate better deals with other countries in a context of rising global protectionism? With renewed calls for Scottish independence and uncertainty about Northern Ireland's future, would the UK itself start to break apart?

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